3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,613/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$235
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$339
Net cashflow
$964/mo
Annual
$11,569/yr
Cap rate
32.06%
Cash-on-cash
92.02%
DSCR
5.09
1% rule
3.59%
Cash to close
$12,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $964 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 32.1% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen countertops and cabinets
— The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures and tiles
— The fixtures and tiles are dated and need updating.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is worn and may need replacement.
Major: Interior walls and paint
— The walls show signs of wear and the paint is faded.
Major: Exterior siding and painting
— The siding shows signs of wear and may need repainting or replacement.
Major: Windows
— The windows appear old and may need replacement or caulking.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SBVR77FXDBJAXJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29