9380 103rd St #39 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.7
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a basketball court, a playground, and community events, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Community events
- Playground
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gregory Drive Elementary School (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,037 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 530 students, 76% FRL); Charger Academy (math 33% / reading 26%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 961 students, 71% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 568 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 36d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.71%
- DSCR
- 3.75
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,726
- List price
- $44,900
- Delta
- -57.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8534 Osteen St | 1.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,027 (-3%) | 5mo | $186,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 8231 Susie St #0 | 1.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (+9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 8145 Maple St | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $139 | 45 |
| 8506 Susie St | 1.11mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-8%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $139 | 43 |
| 5938 Brannon Ave | 1.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,146 (+8%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $87 | 40 |
| 5717 Kinkaid Rd | 1.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+14%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $170 | 38 |
| 8757 Susie St | 0.84mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (+14%) | 4mo | $242,000 | $201 | 38 |
| 8570 Cheryl Ann Ln | 0.93mi | 3/2.0 | 1,209 (+14%) | 3mo | $250,020 | $207 | 38 |
| 8466 Buttercup St | 1.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (+14%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $203 | 38 |
| 8414 Buttercup St | 1.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (+19%) | 3mo | $236,740 | $189 | 37 |
| 8252 Buttercup St | 1.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $52 | 36 |
| 8410 Buttercup St | 1.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (+19%) | 5mo | $219,990 | $176 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $32,847
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.15×
- Total profit
- $77,369
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active
- Median asking
- $65,900 ($62/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 87 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +58.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 568
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $647
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $678 | -5% $662 | +0% $647 | +5% $631 | +10% $616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $551 | -5% $599 | +0% $647 | +5% $694 | +10% $742 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $669 | -0.5pp $658 | base $647 | +0.5pp $635 | +1.0pp $623 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9455 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1090 | $1,596 | $1.46 | 17d | 18 | 0.48mi |
| 9359 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 928 | $1,399 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9732 Chirping Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,745 | $1.24 | 41d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9541 103rd St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,702 | $1.64 | 16d | 29 | 0.55mi |
| 5437 Tellaro Ln Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $1,795 | $1.29 | 69d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5229 Walkers Ridge Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1497 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 72d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5565 Connie Jean Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,100 | $1.75 | 17d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 9956 Somerset Grove Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,590 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8727 Osteen St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,421 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5216 Brighton Park Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,795 | $1.22 | 59d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4711 Cinnamon Fern Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,695 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8518 Maple St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,575 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8630 Buttercup St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,448 | $1.18 | 35d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8515 Maple St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,499 | $1.19 | 52d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8472 Fury Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,780 | $1.34 | 72d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8632 Mc Glothlin St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $900 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5937 Camaro Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 72d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8498 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,386 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8466 April St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,576 | $1.28 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8493 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 70d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8474 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8485 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 72d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8460 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 35d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8443 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,381 | $1.04 | 56d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8436 McGirts Village Ln Unit 9F Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1299 | $1,248 | $0.96 | 35d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8441 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,369 | $1.03 | 20d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8441 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,409 | $1.06 | 41d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8419 McGirts Village Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $1,349 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8402 McGirts Village Ln Unit 7E Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1319 | $1,198 | $0.91 | 56d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8341 Homeport Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 72d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8329 Homeport Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1281 | $1,645 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5770 Brannon Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 56d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8368 Geoffrey Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,730 | $1.57 | 72d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6069 Anglia Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,908 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8148 Metto Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,576 | $1.30 | 52d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,163
- − Management
- −$1,163
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $7,490
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,798
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This home requires significant updates to its kitchen, bathrooms, flooring, and exterior to improve its condition and value. A comprehensive renovation will significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen countertops and cabinets — The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures and tiles — The fixtures and tiles are dated and need updating.
- Major Flooring — The flooring is worn and may need replacement.
- Major Interior walls and paint — The walls show signs of wear and the paint is faded.
- Major Exterior siding and painting — The siding shows signs of wear and may need repainting or replacement.
- Major Windows — The windows appear old and may need replacement or caulking.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom updates — Up-to-date bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Interior paint and wall repairs — Fresh paint and repairs will make the interior look new and increase the home's value. ↑
- Resale Exterior painting and siding repairs — A fresh coat of paint and repairs to the siding will enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Resale Window replacement — New windows will improve the home's energy efficiency and increase its value. ↑
- Rental HVAC system maintenance and potential upgrade — A well-maintained HVAC system will attract renters and improve the home's rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvement — Enhanced landscaping and curb appeal will attract both buyers and renters and increase the home's value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,013,010 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…