3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
770 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,175/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$65/mo
Annual
$782/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($782/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fairview Area School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #244 of 760 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Oscoda County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oscoda County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent image shows a steel roof, but the listing photos do not provide a clear view of the roof condition.
Major: exterior paint
— The independent image shows a yellow house with a brown roof, but the listing photos do not provide a clear view of the exterior paint condition.
Major: landscaping
— The independent image shows a lot with snow and trees, but the listing photos do not provide a clear view of the landscaping condition.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SBWP0W9WFHYJ70
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29