3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,146 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 510 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,480/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$975
Tax + insurance
−$310
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$-116/mo
Annual
$-1,388/yr
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.67%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$52,052
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $186k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.4% below list).
It's been on market 510 days — a 12% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,320 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: M Rivas Pri Discovery Academy (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 349 students, 93% FRL); A P Solis Middle (math 8% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 666 students, 93% FRL); Donna H S (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 2,095 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 48% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 349 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 510 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SC7YW9C66GR90H
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29