4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,155 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$223
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$598/mo
Annual
$7,174/yr
Cap rate
23.17%
Cash-on-cash
60.29%
DSCR
3.68
1% rule
2.57%
Cash to close
$11,900
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $598 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#275 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Midland CUSD 7 (rural): math 24% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #189 of 620 in IL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Midland Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 274 students, 0% FRL); Midland Middle School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade D-, #116 of 665 statewide, top 19%, 196 students, 0% FRL); Midland High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 195 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $42k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SCCG5F5GTG61ZF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29