5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,428 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,789/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$829/mo
Annual
$9,952/yr
Cap rate
20.64%
Cash-on-cash
51.26%
DSCR
3.28
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#101 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Headland Elementary School (math 39% / reading 59%, grade D, #132 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 858 students, 48% FRL); Headland Middle School (math 16% / reading 58%, grade F, #73 of 257 statewide, top 29%, 576 students, 47% FRL); Headland High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 412 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 3.8% in Headland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas appear overgrown.
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas appear overgrown.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SCJJGNABFRHD3T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29