340&353 County Rd 414 · Headland, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For sale are 2 mobile homes secludedly situated on 1.24 Acres privately located down a 1300' one lane driveway named County Rd 414. The larger home has been parked under a metal roof which extends 12' out on front and back creating porches that run the length of the home. It is 16x80 with a 12x14 bonus room addition. It has 3 BR's and 2BA's. CH & A as well as window units. The smaller mobile home is 2/2 with 980 SF (14x70). Central heat and window unit for air. This home has a covered front porch and a new rear deck with ramp. Total acreage is 1.24 Acres. They are on public water and each has its own septic tank. Other amenities include some fencing, a shed, a portable storage building,
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Garden
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Manufactured / modular home; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; On waterfront; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 3.8% in Headland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#101 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Headland Elementary School (math 39% / reading 59%, grade D, #132 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 858 students, 48% FRL); Headland Middle School (math 16% / reading 58%, grade F, #73 of 257 statewide, top 29%, 576 students, 47% FRL); Headland High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 412 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.26%
- DSCR
- 3.28
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $40,752
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 50.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.95×
- Total profit
- $103,778
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36345
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $829
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-07$74,900 Pending 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $9,365
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,705/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The property is a mobile home with average condition, requiring some landscaping and interior painting to improve its value. The larger home has a metal roof extension, and the smaller home has central heat and window units.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas appear overgrown.
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas appear overgrown.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improving curb appeal and increasing property value.
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value.
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improving curb appeal and increasing property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Some areas appear overgrown. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some areas appear overgrown. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improving curb appeal and increasing property value. ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — Improving curb appeal and increasing property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 0101740
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,502
- Composite
- 27.78/100
- National rank
- #6894
- State rank
- #55 of 129 in AL
Livability — Headland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #11540
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,838
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,838
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,109 people
- By 2030
- 16,928 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 16,376 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 15,778 · -7.8%
- By 2075
- 14,491 · -15.3%
- By 2100
- 12,673 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 16% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.45%
- Current HPI
- 213.0749
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-06-03 Listed $74,900 SAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…