3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,610 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Other
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-115/mo
Annual
$-1,385/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (28.3% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $200k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#192 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Manchester Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #553 of 597 statewide, top 95%, 383 students, 100% FRL); Furman Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #196 of 229 statewide, top 87%, 729 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood High (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #180 of 196 statewide, top 93%, 1,036 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29