4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 403 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,362/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,498
Tax + insurance
−$476
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$-898/mo
Annual
$-10,775/yr
Cap rate
2.52%
Cash-on-cash
-13.47%
DSCR
0.40
1% rule
0.48%
Cash to close
$79,979
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $34k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-898 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
It's been on market 403 days — a 12% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#506 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson Area Local (rural): math 46% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #382 of 656 in OH (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 12.6% of price.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 403 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and trees need trimming and clearing
Major: Foundation
— No visible foundation, but overgrown vegetation suggests potential issues
CashFlowRE · CFR-SDETKECWQMBT4G
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29