2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 224 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$850
Tax + insurance
−$540
HOA
−$353
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$-714/mo
Annual
$-8,565/yr
Cap rate
4.17%
Cash-on-cash
-7.60%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$45,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $162k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-714 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $36k (77.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (19.6% below list).
It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (77.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#381 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Osteen Elementary School (math 54% / reading 56%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 469 students, 60% FRL); Heritage Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 993 students, 61% FRL); Pine Ridge High School (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,636 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $162k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 78% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SDWJNS32Y8VSDY
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29