2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,233/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,996/yr
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.70%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (1.4% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sebring Middle School (math 52% / reading 40%, grade D+, #300 of 571 statewide, top 53%, 815 students, 64% FRL); Sebring High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,809 students, 56% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor
— Structural damage
Major: Missing cabinets
— Aesthetic and functional loss
Major: Worn fixtures
— Aesthetic and functional loss
Major: Missing shower curtain
— Aesthetic and functional loss