3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,038/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$200/mo
Annual
$2,394/yr
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.69%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $66k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SERV7332R2A0J5
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29