3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1860
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 124 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,875/yr
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.81%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
Eau Claire Public Schools (rural): math 9% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #496 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lybrook Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,277 of 1,397 statewide, top 93%, 280 students, 97% FRL); Eau Claire Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #439 of 493 statewide, top 90%, 158 students, 92% FRL); Eau Claire High School (math 5% / reading 34%, grade F, #611 of 713 statewide, top 87%, 190 students, 90% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $33k; list at $95k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SFQBXE5D9QZZ6R
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29