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6555 Pipestone St
B- Composite 65.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

6555 Pipestone St · Pipestone, MI 49111
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1860 10,826 sqft lot $92/sqft · 46% below area Est $175k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1860

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Eau Claire Public Schools (rural): math 9% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #496 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $33k; list at $95k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.81%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,309
List price
$95,000
Delta
-45.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6731 Old Pipestone Rd 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+8%) 17mo $203,000 $181 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-142
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$19,493
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49111

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $947/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $781
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $266 +0% $240 +5% $213 +10% $186
Rent -10% $154 -5% $197 +0% $240 +5% $282 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $287 -0.5pp $264 base $240 +0.5pp $215 +1.0pp $190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $95,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
  18. 2026-03-12
    price $104,000
  19. 2026-03-11
    price $104,000
  20. 2026-03-11
    price $104,000
  21. 2026-02-18
    listed $109,000 Active
  22. 2026-02-18
    listed $109,000 Active
  23. 2026-02-18
    listed $109,000 Active
  24. 2018-03-09
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$947 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,205 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$258/yr (+$22/mo · 27.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,006
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$947
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$340
After-tax cash flow
$2,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eau Claire Public Schools
NCES district ID
2612810
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$49,633
Composite
13.28/100
National rank
#9543
State rank
#496 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pipestone

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Eau Claire, MI
Population (ZIP)
3,121

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.65%
Current HPI
226.6242
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+215.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $104,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $104,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $947 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…