6555 Pipestone St · Pipestone, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1860
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Eau Claire Public Schools (rural): math 9% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #496 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $95k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.81%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,309
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -45.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6731 Old Pipestone Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+8%) | 17mo | $203,000 | $181 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-142
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $19,493
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49111
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $947/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $266 | +0% $240 | +5% $213 | +10% $186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $197 | +0% $240 | +5% $282 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $264 | base $240 | +0.5pp $215 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $95,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $104,000
-
2026-03-11price $104,000
-
2026-03-11price $104,000
-
2026-02-18$109,000 Active
-
2026-02-18$109,000 Active
-
2026-02-18$109,000 Active
-
2018-03-09soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $947 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,205 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$258/yr (+$22/mo · 27.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$947
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,419
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$340
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eau Claire Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612810
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,633
- Composite
- 13.28/100
- National rank
- #9543
- State rank
- #496 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pipestone
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eau Claire, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,121
Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 149,273 people
- By 2030
- 145,211 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 135,435 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 125,543 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 103,986 · -30.3%
- By 2100
- 82,256 · -44.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Berrien
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.65%
- Current HPI
- 226.6242
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+215.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $104,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $104,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $947 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…