4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,128 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,236/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$459/mo
Annual
$5,510/yr
Cap rate
13.65%
Cash-on-cash
26.27%
DSCR
2.17
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#420 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Palestine-Wheatley School District (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #72 of 238 in AR (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in St. Francis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Francis County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $75k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SH1H3WD3ZA01ET
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29