3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,195 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,408/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$470/mo
Annual
$5,641/yr
Cap rate
11.99%
Cash-on-cash
20.35%
DSCR
1.91
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#514 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SHF95C4HFSHG1Q
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29