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2540 S 39 Rd
B- Composite 68.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2540 S 39 Rd · Haring, MI 49601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,195 sqft · SingleFamily · 40 Days on market
Built 2001 0.48 ac lot $83/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.

Key facts

  • Almost half an acre
  • Convenient location
  • Natural gas

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONALMOST HALF AN ACRENATURAL GASBLACKTOP ROAD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built above grade (finished area listed); Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.48 acres; Lot dimensions roughly 116.58 x 180; Residential zoning; Located in Sundstrom's Pine Knoll #2 subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#514 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.99%
Cash-on-cash
20.35%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$213,331
List price
$99,000
Delta
-53.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7392 Hickory Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+8%) 23mo $272,000 $210 48
7392 Hickory Ct Lot : 74 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+8%) 23mo $272,000 $210 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$13,894
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$50,634
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49601

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $984/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $813
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $526 -5% $498 +0% $470 +5% $442 +10% $414
Rent -10% $359 -5% $414 +0% $470 +5% $526 +10% $581
Rate -1.0pp $520 -0.5pp $495 base $470 +0.5pp $444 +1.0pp $418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $99,000 Pending 40 DOM
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.

  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    price $99,000 Active 33 DOM
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.

  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-04-29
    listed $120,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.

  12. 2026-04-29
    listed $120,000 Active 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.

  13. 2022-08-23
    soldstatus $86,408
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.

  14. 2022-08-23
    soldstatus $86,408
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.

  15. 2022-08-23
    soldstatus $86,408
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.

  16. 2022-08-22
    listed $87,500
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.

  17. 2022-08-22
    listed $87,500
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.

  18. 2017-04-01
    soldstatus $35,500
  19. 1991-09-03
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$984 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,254 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$23/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,899
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$984
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,352
− Management
−$1,352
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$4,291
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,030
After-tax cash flow
$4,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cadillac Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2607590
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,543
Composite
41.12/100
National rank
#3562
State rank
#120 of 540 in MI

Livability — Haring

Score
63/100
State rank
#514
US rank
#15443

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
22,121

Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,399 people
By 2030
31,692 · -2.2%
By 2040
29,789 · -8.1%
By 2050
27,473 · -15.2%
By 2075
21,822 · -32.6%
By 2100
15,237 · -53.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wexford

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.43%
Current HPI
344.1577
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+800.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $86,408 Public Records
  • 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $86,408 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $86,408 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-22 Listed $87,500 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-22 Listed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
  • 1991-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $984 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…