2540 S 39 Rd · Haring, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.
Key facts
- Almost half an acre
- Convenient location
- Natural gas
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built above grade (finished area listed); Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.48 acres; Lot dimensions roughly 116.58 x 180; Residential zoning; Located in Sundstrom's Pine Knoll #2 subdivision
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#514 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.35%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,331
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -53.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7392 Hickory Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+8%) | 23mo | $272,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 7392 Hickory Ct Lot : 74 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+8%) | 23mo | $272,000 | $210 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $13,894
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $50,634
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49601
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $984/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $470
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $526 | -5% $498 | +0% $470 | +5% $442 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $359 | -5% $414 | +0% $470 | +5% $526 | +10% $581 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $520 | -0.5pp $495 | base $470 | +0.5pp $444 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $99,000 Pending 40 DOM
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $99,000 Active 33 DOM
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-29$120,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.
-
2026-04-29$120,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bath home in convenient location close to the North end of Cadillac. Home is situated on almost half an acre which gives you room to add a garage. Besides being close to town home has natural gas and is on a blacktop road.
-
2022-08-23soldstatus $86,408
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.
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2022-08-23soldstatus $86,408
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.
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2022-08-23soldstatus $86,408
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.
-
2022-08-22$87,500
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.
-
2022-08-22$87,500
Show marketing remark (62 chars)
3 Bedroom 2 bath home minutes to Cadillac's North end of town.
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2017-04-01soldstatus $35,500
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1991-09-03soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$23/mo · 27.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$984
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,352
- − Management
- −$1,352
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,291
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cadillac Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2607590
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,543
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3562
- State rank
- #120 of 540 in MI
Livability — Haring
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #514
- US rank
- #15443
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,121
Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,399 people
- By 2030
- 31,692 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 29,789 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 27,473 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 21,822 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 15,237 · -53.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wexford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.43%
- Current HPI
- 344.1577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $86,408 Public Records
- 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $86,408 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-23 Sold (MLS) $86,408 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-22 Listed $87,500 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-22 Listed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 1991-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $984 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…