3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,387 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,423/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,861
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$60
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$-274/mo
Annual
$-3,288/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.31%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$99,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $355k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-274 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (13.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (31.7% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $242k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#6 in AL, #1,842 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Auburn City (urban): math 51% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #7 of 129 in AL (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Loachapoka Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 334 students, 85% FRL); Sanford Middle School (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #76 of 257 statewide, top 31%, 545 students, 74% FRL); Loachapoka High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 237 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 24% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Auburn City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SJ4JN26NFSWRA9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29