3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,247 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$436
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$223/mo
Annual
$2,673/yr
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.78%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#237 in NY, #3,718 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Churchville-Chili Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Churchville-Chili Middle School (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 1,156 students, 34% FRL); Churchville-Chili Senior High School (math 95% / reading 98%, grade A+, #59 of 1,100 statewide, top 6%, 1,192 students, 30% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Churchville-Chili Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.3% in Spencerport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SJH4679K23H5BZ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29