3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,848 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,752/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,150
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$578
Net cashflow
$-298/mo
Annual
$-3,576/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$114,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $410k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $357k (12.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (32.9% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($398k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $275k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
El Paso County Colorado School District 49 (urban): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 86 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SJWKFCA6E5Z6AS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29