3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Active
· 146 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,794/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$152
Tax + insurance
−$48
HOA
−$972
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$377
Net cashflow
$245/mo
Annual
$2,935/yr
Cap rate
16.42%
Cash-on-cash
36.15%
DSCR
2.61
1% rule
6.19%
Cash to close
$8,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $29k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $29k).
It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#51 in UT, #2,901 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pioneer School (math 47% / reading 39%, grade F, #273 of 585 statewide, top 47%, 414 students, 23% FRL); Orion Jr High (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #88 of 138 statewide, top 66%, 1,063 students, 19% FRL); Weber High (math 33% / reading 49%, grade F, #60 of 171 statewide, top 35%, 2,037 students, 15% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 611 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SKDX3Q4PQBFAC0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29