3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,564 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 438 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$25/mo
Annual
$301/yr
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $25 ($301/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 438 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Phelps County R-III (rural): math 55% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #42 of 535 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Phelps Co. Elem. (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 157 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 162 units permitted in Phelps County in 2024 (83 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phelps County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 438 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SKNRXX0CHF12NS
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29