3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
858 sqft ·
Built 1994
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,209/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$951/mo
Annual
$11,415/yr
Cap rate
16.23%
Cash-on-cash
35.48%
DSCR
2.58
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $951 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#150 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Coeur D'Alene District (urban): math 44% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #23 of 92 in ID (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Atlas Elementary School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #106 of 357 statewide, top 33%, 438 students, 26% FRL); Canfield Middle School (math 51% / reading 72%, grade B+, #9 of 109 statewide, top 7%, 746 students, 22% FRL); Coeur D'Alene High School (math 47% / reading 80%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,548 students, 15% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,606 units permitted in Kootenai County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kootenai County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.2% in Hayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29