3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$45
Tax + insurance
−$14
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$817/mo
Annual
$9,800/yr
Cap rate
121.59%
Cash-on-cash
411.78%
DSCR
19.32
1% rule
13.04%
Cash to close
$2,380
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $8k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#603 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SNY0X35FHZWMCS
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29