🏷️ Likely Rental
6242 Palmetto Dr · Beecher, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 101 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $8k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#603 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 121.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 411.78%
- DSCR
- 19.32
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,536
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6242 Palmetto Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 1mo | $8,000 | $8 | 99 |
| 6229 Detroit St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 12mo | $87,000 | $81 | 82 |
| 1393 W Stanley Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+2%) | 5mo | $148,900 | $138 | 66 |
| 1199 Peachtree Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-5%) | 10mo | $54,000 | $54 | 59 |
| 1104 Lucharles Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 6mo | $60,105 | $58 | 59 |
| 6069 Natchez Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-15%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 1059 Morris Hills Pkwy | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-4%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $109 | 54 |
| 6519 Estrelle Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+4%) | 11mo | $133,000 | $121 | 53 |
| 6117 Penwood Rd | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 985 (-7%) | 12mo | $79,900 | $81 | 52 |
| 1043 Laport Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,165 (+10%) | 6mo | $88,500 | $76 | 45 |
| 1050 W Kurtz Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-9%) | 11mo | $82,500 | $86 | 44 |
| 1587 Mcalpine Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $129 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.28×
- Total profit
- $50,655
- Equity at exit
- $1,267
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 47.70×
- Total profit
- $111,156
- Equity at exit
- $735
Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48458
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 0.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$45
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$11 /mo · $128/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $817
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,125
- Closing costs
- $255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6230 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 6113 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $990 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1 Sunny Ln Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 7028 Rosewood Dr Mt Morris, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,020 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6203 Hilton Ln Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $900 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-02-25status Pending 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2026-02-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-12-16price $8,500 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-12-15price $8,500
-
2025-11-21status Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-11-21status Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-11-04status Pending 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-11-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-10-30$9,900 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-10-30$9,900 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2019-11-14historical
-
2019-11-14historical
-
2019-11-13status Active
-
2019-10-14status Pending
-
2019-10-14status Pending
-
2019-08-07$11,999 Active
-
2019-08-07$11,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$476
- − Property taxes
- −$128
- − Insurance
- −$42
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$247
- Taxable income
- $10,277
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beecher Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2604500
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,719
- Composite
- 9.96/100
- National rank
- #14685
- State rank
- #722 of 760 in MI
Livability — Beecher
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #603
- US rank
- #19782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beecher, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,519
- Household income
- $46,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 724.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.45%
- Current HPI
- 244.2061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-29.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-11-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-11-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-08-07 Listed $11,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-07 Listed $11,999 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2022): $798 · -56.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…