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6242 Palmetto Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 41.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$8,500

6242 Palmetto Dr · Beecher, MI 48458
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 101 Days on market
Built 1962 7,405 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 101 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $8,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$85,536) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $8k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#603 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $7,735 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
13.04%
Cap rate
121.59%
Cash-on-cash
411.78%
DSCR
19.32
GRM
0.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,536
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6242 Palmetto Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,056 (0%) 1mo $8,000 $8 99
6229 Detroit St 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+2%) 12mo $87,000 $81 82
1393 W Stanley Rd 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+2%) 5mo $148,900 $138 66
1199 Peachtree Dr 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,000 (-5%) 10mo $54,000 $54 59
1104 Lucharles Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-2%) 6mo $60,105 $58 59
6069 Natchez Dr 0.35mi 3/1.0 900 (-15%) 2mo $65,000 $72 57
1059 Morris Hills Pkwy 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-4%) 10mo $110,000 $109 54
6519 Estrelle Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+4%) 11mo $133,000 $121 53
6117 Penwood Rd 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 985 (-7%) 12mo $79,900 $81 52
1043 Laport Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,165 (+10%) 6mo $88,500 $76 45
1050 W Kurtz Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 960 (-9%) 11mo $82,500 $86 44
1587 Mcalpine Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+14%) 7mo $155,000 $129 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.28×
Total profit
$50,655
Equity at exit
$1,267
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
47.70×
Total profit
$111,156
Equity at exit
$735

Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48458

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$45
Tax est. 1.5%
$11 /mo · $128/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$817

Break-even live

Break-even rent $74
Max offer price $8,500
Occupancy floor 21%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,125
Closing costs
$255
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6230 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,000 $0.94 13d 1 0.12mi
6113 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $990 $0.90 43d 1 0.29mi
1 Sunny Ln Mount Morris, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.41mi
7028 Rosewood Dr Mt Morris, MI 2.0 1.0 967 $1,020 $1.05 13d 1 0.59mi
6203 Hilton Ln Mount Morris, MI 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 43d 1 0.70mi
2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,000 $0.93 13d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-02-25
    status Pending 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  2. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  3. 2025-12-16
    price $8,500 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  4. 2025-12-15
    price $8,500
  5. 2025-11-21
    status Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  6. 2025-11-21
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  7. 2025-11-04
    status Pending 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  8. 2025-11-04
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  9. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active 231-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  10. 2025-10-30
    listed $9,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.

  11. 2019-11-14
    historical
  12. 2019-11-14
    historical
  13. 2019-11-13
    status Active
  14. 2019-10-14
    status Pending
  15. 2019-10-14
    status Pending
  16. 2019-08-07
    listed $11,999 Active
  17. 2019-08-07
    listed $11,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,298
− Mortgage interest
−$476
− Property taxes
−$128
− Insurance
−$42
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,064
− Management
−$1,064
− Depreciation
−$247
Taxable income
$10,277
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,466
After-tax cash flow
$7,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beecher Community School District
NCES district ID
2604500
Math proficiency
7% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$27,719
Composite
9.96/100
National rank
#14685
State rank
#722 of 760 in MI

Livability — Beecher

Score
59/100
State rank
#603
US rank
#19782

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beecher, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
19,519
Household income
$46,797
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
724.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 22% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.45%
Current HPI
244.2061
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-21 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-11-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-11-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-11-13 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-10-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-10-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2019-08-07 Listed $11,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-08-07 Listed $11,999 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $798 · -56.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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