3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,184 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,341/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$89/mo
Annual
$1,063/yr
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.45%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (13.5% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Es (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 281 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Ms (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #158 of 345 statewide, top 47%, 650 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Hs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 800 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $155k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29