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16 S Indianola St
D Composite 44.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

16 S Indianola St · Pryor Creek, OK 74361
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1960 10,500 sqft lot Est $161k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Good little starter home in town close to everything with a large master suite and a fenced-in yard out back.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Phone service available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Mature trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet available; Wired for data; Ceiling fan(s); Electric oven and range connections
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Jefferson Es (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 281 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Ms (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #158 of 345 statewide, top 47%, 650 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Hs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 800 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $155k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,078 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.45%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,024
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 S Orphan St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,068 (-10%) 3mo $43,000 $40 71
403 N Ora St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-1%) 1mo $88,750 $75 65
15 Irving St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-3%) 9mo $140,000 $122 64
107 S Coo-y-yah St Unit B 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+13%) 3mo $239,000 $179 64
1400 Damon Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,252 (+6%) 2mo $150,000 $120 62
320 N Hogan St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (+2%) 4mo $137,000 $113 58
309 N Fairland St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,116 (-6%) 2mo $179,900 $161 57
404 N Oklahoma St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (-2%) 6mo $182,000 $157 52
232 Eastmanor Cir 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-10%) 6mo $182,000 $170 46
415 N Orphan St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-9%) 5mo $87,500 $81 46
223 E Manor Cir 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,085 (-8%) 9mo $175,000 $161 45
27 Payne St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-11%) 10mo $144,000 $136 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-19,519
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-9,903
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74361

Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,341 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,229
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $176 -5% $132 +0% $89 +5% $45 +10% $1
Rent -10% $-17 -5% $36 +0% $89 +5% $142 +10% $194
Rate -1.0pp $167 -0.5pp $128 base $89 +0.5pp $48 +1.0pp $8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 16d 1 0.22mi
202 N Ora St Pryor, OK 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,600 $1.24 21d 1 0.33mi
1220 SE 9th St Pryor, OK 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 909 $1,469 $1.62 0d 6 1.01mi
1501 Meadow Trace Dr Unit 1 Pryor, OK 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,029 $1.03 0d 4 1.24mi
1707 S Elliott St Pryor, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,275 $1.47 0d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
  18. 2026-05-17
    price $155,000
  19. 2026-04-21
    price $166,000
  20. 2026-04-08
    listed $171,500 Active
  21. 2000-07-14
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,395 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,089
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$1,119
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,287
− Management
−$1,287
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,570
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$377
After-tax cash flow
$1,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pryor
NCES district ID
4025200
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,306
Composite
19.46/100
National rank
#8774
State rank
#143 of 270 in OK

Livability — Pryor Creek

Score
69/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#8653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pryor Creek, OK
County
Mayes County · 17,612 people
City population
17,582
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
17,612
Household income
$58,681
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,941 people
By 2030
39,172 · -1.9%
By 2040
37,540 · -6.0%
By 2050
35,854 · -10.2%
By 2075
32,361 · -19.0%
By 2100
28,054 · -29.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mayes

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.81%
Current HPI
247.7737
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+264.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $166,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $171,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2000-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,119 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…