2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$833/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$233
Tax + insurance
−$57
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$368/mo
Annual
$4,418/yr
Cap rate
16.22%
Cash-on-cash
35.46%
DSCR
2.58
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$12,460
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($833 rent vs $44k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#127 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Centralia R-VI (town): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #82 of 324 in MO (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Centralia Intermediate (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D-, #410 of 1,115 statewide, top 37%, 305 students, 32% FRL); Centralia High (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #51 of 521 statewide, top 11%, 406 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.8% in Centralia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SPT49N30DWDQSK
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29