10350 W Bay Harbor Dr Unit 8F

Bay Harbor Islands, FL 33154

$415,000D

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Built 1966 · Condo · Active · 138 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,003/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,176
• Tax + insurance: −$432
• HOA: −$1,267
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$841
• Net cashflow: $-713/mo
• Annual: $-8,557/yr
• Cap rate: 4.42%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.68%
• DSCR: 0.70
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $116,200

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $415k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-713 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (30.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $400k (3.6% below list).
• It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($365k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $289k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#13 in FL, #362 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 522 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• At $4,003/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 774% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.