10350 W Bay Harbor Dr Unit 8F · Bay Harbor Islands, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$415,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
Key facts
- Serene bay views
- Private balcony
- Large kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (dogs OK)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include bike storage, business center, clubhouse, elevators, fitness center, laundry, barbecue/picnic area, pool, and storage; Association fee covers management, amenities, common areas, cable TV, HVAC, hot water, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, parking, pest control, pool(s), and reserve fund; Community of 168 units
Exterior
- Parking: One covered parking space; Garage with 1 space; Secured garage/parking
- Security: Doorman; Secured lobby; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Water service (public not specified); Sewer service (not specified); Electric service
- Home design: High-rise building (11 stories); Entry located on level 8; Has a view
- Construction: Brick and block construction; Effective year built
- Exterior features: Balcony (open); Association pool; Bay front waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Blinds; Impact glass windows; Breakfast area; Combined living and dining room; Elevator access; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $415k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-713 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (30.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $400k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $289k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#13 in FL, #362 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 522 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,003/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 774% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($365k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.67%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.12% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $66,448
- Equity at exit
- $264,146
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $210,495
- Equity at exit
- $481,856
Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33154
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 522
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,003 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$1,267
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$841
- Net cashflow
- $-713
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,750
- Closing costs
- $12,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 NE 135th St #904 North Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $23,509 | $24.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2020 NE 135th St North Miami, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $23,509 | $24.41 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,267 · $15,204/yr
- Likely covers
- internetcablepoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $415,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $415,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $415,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $415,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $415,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $415,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $415,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $415,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $415,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $415,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $415,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $415,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $415,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-01-31$415,000 Active
-
2025-12-04historical
-
2025-10-16historical $3,000
-
2025-07-22price $439,000
-
2025-07-11$3,000
-
2025-07-01$448,000 Active
-
2024-11-06historical $2,900
-
2024-05-17price $2,900
-
2024-05-13soldstatus $380,000
-
2024-05-07$3,100
-
2024-04-30soldstatus $380,000 Closed 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
-
2024-03-29historical Active Under Contract 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
-
2024-01-31price $409,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
-
2024-01-18price $429,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
-
2024-01-04$439,000 Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Gorgeous Oversized 1 bed , at lovely island point in Bay harbor islands, Unit features, Open Spaces with lots of light facing east, Tile floors throughout, Oversized kitchen with granite counter tops, washer /dryer in unit, large sliding glass doors , Floor to ceiling windows off balcony with amazing views of bay, building financially stable with reserves , cable and internet incl in maintence fee. . Storage unit included, Bayfront pool with tiki huts, large gym enjoy, 24 hour front desk, Call for easy showing. .
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2021-08-02soldstatus $310,000
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2021-07-17historical
-
2021-07-15soldstatus $310,000 Closed
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2021-06-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-06-02price $312,000
-
2021-05-13price $319,000
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2021-04-26$329,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,310 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,444 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,135/yr (+$95/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,246
- − Property taxes
- −$2,310
- − Insurance
- −$2,872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,843
- − Management
- −$3,843
- − HOA
- −$15,204
- − Depreciation
- −$12,073
- Taxable loss
- −$15,352
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,685
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,866/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Bay Harbor Islands
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bay Harbor Islands, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 14,435
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,572
- Household income
- $89,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 25% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 12% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.12%
- Current HPI
- 454.1747
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.30%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+26.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-31 Listed $415,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-10-16 Rental Removed $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-22 Price Changed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-11 Listed for Rent $3,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-01 Listed $448,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-05-17 Price Changed $2,900 MARMLS
- 2024-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $380,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-07 Listed for Rent $3,100 MARMLS
- 2024-04-30 Sold (MLS) $380,000 MARMLS
- 2024-03-29 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2024-01-31 Price Changed $409,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-18 Price Changed $429,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-04 Listed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2021-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-07-15 Sold (MLS) $310,000 MARMLS
- 2021-06-09 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2021-06-02 Price Changed $312,000 MARMLS
- 2021-05-13 Price Changed $319,000 MARMLS
- 2021-04-26 Listed $329,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,310 · -57.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…