3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,202 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$667/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.16%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$57,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($667/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (19.5% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AZ, #3,388 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, schools F.
Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $205k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in San Luis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SR0T72FE79NYVT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29