745 N Gladiola Dr · San Luis, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space! This well-maintained property is the perfect opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Featuring a functional layout, spacious bedrooms, and a bright living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Great opportunity to own a move-in ready home at an excellent value! Listing agent is related to the seller.
Key facts
- Built 1996
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Paved road; Curbs and sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Electric range; Tile flooring; Smoke detector(s); No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($667/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in San Luis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AZ, #3,388 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, schools F.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $205k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.16%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,602
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247 E Los Tres Hombres St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,115 (-7%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $197 | 66 |
| 191 E Zapata St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,169 (-3%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 1085 N Hidalgo Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,183 (-2%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 995 E B St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (-1%) | 5mo | $256,000 | $215 | 56 |
| 404 E E St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,079 (-10%) | 23mo | $235,000 | $218 | 55 |
| 254 E Los Tres Hombres St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,145 (-5%) | 17mo | $185,000 | $162 | 55 |
| 239 E Zapata St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,169 (-3%) | 23mo | $234,900 | $201 | 47 |
| 184 E Villa St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (-10%) | 16mo | $220,000 | $204 | 41 |
| 348 E Aquila St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+14%) | 16mo | $299,900 | $219 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $81,875
- Equity at exit
- $149,291
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $234,720
- Equity at exit
- $290,458
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85349
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1397 E San Francisco St San Luis, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $204,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $204,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $204,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $204,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $204,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$204,900 Active
-
1996-09-16soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,056 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,352 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$296/yr (+$25/mo · 28.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$1,056
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable loss
- −$2,887
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$693
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — San Luis
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #3388
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Luis, AZ
- City population
- 28,810
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,810
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 66% White 5% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 89%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 10% English-only · Spanish 89%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.54%
- Current HPI
- 436.7614
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+326.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $204,900 YAR
- 1996-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,056 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…