3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$695
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-269/mo
Annual
$-3,230/yr
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.21%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-269 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (22.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (8.0% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in IN, #898 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Geist Elementary School (math 78% / reading 69%, grade A, #23 of 994 statewide, top 3%, 707 students, 13% FRL); Hamilton Se Int And Jr High Sch (math 50% / reading 60%, grade B-, #26 of 330 statewide, top 8%, 1,269 students, 13% FRL); Hamilton Southeastern Hs (math 66% / reading 85%, grade A-, #7 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 3,450 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $137k; list at $210k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Fishers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SSSAJW5RDB48XY
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29