2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,181/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$399
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$99
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,810/yr
Cap rate
12.36%
Cash-on-cash
21.65%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$21,280
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 47% / reading 29%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 668 students, 67% FRL); Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $76k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.7% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior siding
— Siding appears faded and may need repainting.
Minor: Landscaping
— Natural landscaping could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SSWR8V2WKF9MF2
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29