59 37th St · Ellijay, GA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Lot! Long and Level. This lot has room to accommodate the longest RVs allowed in Coosawattee River Resort. Just minutes to the Legion Rd Gate of the resort. Cool too that it is a super short walk to the Riverside Pool area featuring the Riverside Pool + Dog Park and foot bridge w/ crossing access to Fishtrap Park and its picnic pavilions and Kids Play areas. All resort amenities (see pics) available including Rec Center with indoor/outdoor 365 pool, game room, exercise room, putt putt, pickleball, tennis, basketball, 2 outside pools, small fishing lake, 5 parks on the river, walking trail and more. This lot is connected to a massive POA Greenspace Common area that adds loads of privacy. Come play or live full time in the mountains.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Fitness center
- Wooded views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.7% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 47% / reading 29%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 668 students, 67% FRL); Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $76k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.65%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,054
- List price
- $76,000
- Delta
- -24.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 37th St | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 400 (0%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $125 | 86 |
| 151 25th St | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $180 | 83 |
| 183 14th St Unit C367 | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $313 | 78 |
| 183 14th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $313 | 78 |
| 152 33rd St | 0.24mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 408 (+2%) | 5mo | $157,000 | $385 | 77 |
| 73 10th St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $298 | 76 |
| 352 10th St | 0.25mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 420 (+5%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $369 | 62 |
| 32 7th St | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 400 (0%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $250 | 61 |
| 16 23rd St | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 408 (+2%) | 14mo | $136,000 | $333 | 61 |
| 97 37th St | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 350 (-12%) | 18mo | $79,950 | $228 | 57 |
| 252 6th St Unit C154 | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 400 (0%) | 15mo | $58,500 | $146 | 49 |
| 252 6th St | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 400 (0%) | 15mo | $58,500 | $146 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $7,981
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $33,286
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 28.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $98,950 ($243/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 136 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +3.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30540
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 1223
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,181 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $236/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$99
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $361 | -5% $339 | +0% $318 | +5% $296 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $271 | +0% $318 | +5% $364 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $337 | base $318 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $278 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property located in Coosawattee CampgroundRoad surface type: gravelWater body: CoosawatteeTopography includes level, sloping, rolling, wooded areas
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with annual fee of $1,188Community features include tennis courts, fitness center, gated access, pool, river access, pickleball, and playground
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway with gravel surfaceAdditional parking: see remarksOpen parking available
- Utilities
- Community waterCommunity sewer
- Home design
- Residential property, resaleBuilt in 2019Has a view
- Construction
- Construction materials: see remarksRoof: see remarksNo basement
- Exterior features
- StorageGardenPrivate yardRV hookupRetaining wallsCommunity pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- See remarks for appliance and kitchen details
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring
- See remarks for flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Heating details: see remarksCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- See remarks for interior details and fireplace information
- Laundry & utility
- See remarks for laundry features
HOA detail $99/mo · $1,188/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $76,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $76,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $76,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $76,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $76,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $76,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $76,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $76,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $76,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $76,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $76,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $76,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $76,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $76,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $76,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $76,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $76,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $76,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $76,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $76,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $76,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $76,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $76,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $76,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $76,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $76,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $76,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $76,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $76,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $76,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $76,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $76,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $76,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $76,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $76,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $76,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $76,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $76,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $76,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $76,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $76,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $76,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $76,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $76,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $76,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $76,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $76,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $76,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $76,000 Active 27 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $699 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$463/yr (+$39/mo · 196.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$236
- − Insurance
- −$1,178
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,134
- − Management
- −$1,134
- − HOA
- −$1,188
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $2,833
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$680
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This RV is a charming mountain retreat with a fair condition, requiring minor repairs and maintenance to enhance its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Siding appears faded and may need repainting.
- Minor Landscaping — Natural landscaping could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping maintenance — Improves curb appeal and enhances natural beauty. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gilmer County
- NCES district ID
- 1302340
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,473
- Composite
- 31.53/100
- National rank
- #5961
- State rank
- #56 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ellijay
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #7087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gilmer · 31,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,145
- Household income
- $73,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,466 people
- By 2030
- 32,199 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 33,266 · +5.7%
- By 2075
- 33,686 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 33,792 · +7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.49%
- Current HPI
- 270.796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+280.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $76,000 NEGBOR
- 2023-10-16 Sold (MLS) $39,500 NEGBOR
- 2023-10-08 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2023-09-02 Listed $42,900 NEGBOR
- 2023-08-29 Sold (MLS) $27,000 GAMLS
- 2023-07-31 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-07-31 Listed $30,000 GAMLS
- 2021-10-28 Sold (MLS) $20,000 NEGBOR
- 2021-10-15 Delisted — NEGBOR
- 2021-09-30 Listed $19,999 NEGBOR
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2025): $236 · +27.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…