3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,468 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,814/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$-171/mo
Annual
$-2,054/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.82%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (11.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (30.2% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: South Harnett Elementary (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #959 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 448 students, 63% FRL); Western Harnett Middle (math 34% / reading 43%, grade F, #244 of 475 statewide, top 53%, 820 students, 57% FRL); Overhills High (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C, #245 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,971 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $260k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Anderson Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ST7Q2416EW281W
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29