5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,883 sqft ·
Built 1899
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,281/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$828
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,159
Net cashflow
$1,001/mo
Annual
$12,009/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.57%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.03M (14.3% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.03M (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $128k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $120k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 73 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$206k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,281/mo this rent would consume 189% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 6603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-STGCAG39JBXM79
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29