144 bd · 144.0 ba ·
4,560 sqft ·
Built 1979
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,533/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,719
Tax + insurance
−$1,090
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,422
Net cashflow
$3,302/mo
Annual
$39,619/yr
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.72%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.28%
Cash to close
$251,972
Investor read
This is a 12 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $900k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive. Per door: $275/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $900k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($846k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $846k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#195 in PA, #1,671 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D.
Iroquois SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #236 of 539 in PA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-STY65CCCZW6THQ
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29