2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Other
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,026/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$502
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$879/yr
Cap rate
19.62%
Cash-on-cash
47.60%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
2.28%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($879/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#60 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
T Or C Municipal Schools (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #29 of 29 in NM (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP.
Sierra County population projected at -38% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SW7G3XCVHCJJP4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29