7 bd · 4.0 ba ·
5,078 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 183 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,653/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$457
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,187
Net cashflow
$3,275/mo
Annual
$39,306/yr
Cap rate
34.39%
Cash-on-cash
100.34%
DSCR
5.46
1% rule
4.04%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($39k/yr) — positive. Per door: $819/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#238 in NY, #3,739 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Johnson City Central School District (suburban): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Johnson City Elementary/Primary School (496 students, 55% FRL); Johnson City Middle School (math 19% / reading 43%, grade F, #534 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 500 students, 65% FRL); Johnson City Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 729 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Johnson City Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 16359% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior paint
— Slight wear visible on exterior siding.
Minor: Landscaping
— Could benefit from some updates to enhance curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SWYHWS5X3S7JA7
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29