3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,251/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (15.9% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#154 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Conecuh County (rural): math 7% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #111 of 129 in AL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Conecuh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Conecuh County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SXCG0KANKYX604
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29