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803 County Rd 14
C Composite 56.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$130,000

803 County Rd 14 · Repton, AL 36473
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1983 2.00 ac lot $97/sqft · 25% below area Est $174k · 25% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you're looking for space, privacy, and potential, this property delivers. Situated on just over 2 acres, this home offers a peaceful country setting with plenty of room to spread out. A large covered front porch welcomes you in - perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or relaxing evenings. Inside, you'll find a spacious open-concept living area featuring vaulted ceilings with exposed beams and a fireplace that anchors the room. The layout flows into a generously sized kitchen with ample cabinet space, bar seating, and room to reimagine into a modern centerpiece. The home includes multiple bedrooms and baths with a functional layout and solid footprint. While updates are needed, the property presents an excellent opportunity for a fix-and-flip, rental, or primary residence with built-in equity potential. Out back, the acreage provides endless possibilities - whether you want a garden, workshop, additional structures, or simply room to enjoy the outdoors.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 76 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#154 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Conecuh County (rural): math 7% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #111 of 129 in AL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Conecuh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Conecuh County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,367 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.44%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,596
List price
$130,000
Delta
-25.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$22,230
Equity at exit
$58,454
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$69,759
Equity at exit
$90,084

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36473

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $286/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    price $130,000 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    If you're looking for space, privacy, and potential, this property delivers. Situated on just over 2 acres, this home offers a peaceful country setting with plenty of room to spread out. A large covered front porch welcomes you in - perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or relaxing evenings. Inside, you'll find a spacious open-concept living area featuring vaulted ceilings with exposed beams and a fireplace that anchors the room. The layout flows into a generously sized kitchen with ample cabinet space, bar seating, and room to reimagine into a modern centerpiece. The home includes multiple bedrooms and baths with a functional layout and solid footprint. While updates are needed, the property presents an excellent opportunity for a fix-and-flip, rental, or primary residence with built-in equity potential. Out back, the acreage provides endless possibilities - whether you want a garden, workshop, additional structures, or simply room to enjoy the outdoors.

  18. 2026-04-03
    listed $135,000 Active 967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (967 chars)

    If you're looking for space, privacy, and potential, this property delivers. Situated on just over 2 acres, this home offers a peaceful country setting with plenty of room to spread out. A large covered front porch welcomes you in - perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or relaxing evenings. Inside, you'll find a spacious open-concept living area featuring vaulted ceilings with exposed beams and a fireplace that anchors the room. The layout flows into a generously sized kitchen with ample cabinet space, bar seating, and room to reimagine into a modern centerpiece. The home includes multiple bedrooms and baths with a functional layout and solid footprint. While updates are needed, the property presents an excellent opportunity for a fix-and-flip, rental, or primary residence with built-in equity potential. Out back, the acreage provides endless possibilities - whether you want a garden, workshop, additional structures, or simply room to enjoy the outdoors.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$286 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$533 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$247/yr (+$21/mo · 86.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,124
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$286
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$234
After-tax cash flow
$1,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conecuh County
NCES district ID
0100870
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,538
Composite
14.53/100
National rank
#9419
State rank
#111 of 129 in AL

Livability — Repton

Score
64/100
State rank
#154
US rank
#14047

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
316

Population outlook (Conecuh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,360 people
By 2030
10,646 · -6.3%
By 2040
9,363 · -17.6%
By 2050
8,241 · -27.5%
By 2075
6,261 · -44.9%
By 2100
5,035 · -55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%

Political lean MEDSL · Conecuh

2024 margin
R (+13.9) · D 42.7% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-13.4pp toward R · 2008: -0.6pp · 2024: -13.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+5.2 2012: D+1.7 2008: R+0.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $130,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $135,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $286 · -21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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