4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,270 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,484/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$478
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$522
Net cashflow
$-273/mo
Annual
$-3,272/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.49%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$93,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (14.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (25.9% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $248k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#187 in MN, #3,994 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Hopkins Public School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #75 of 301 in MN (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gatewood Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 413 students, 65% FRL); Hopkins West Junior High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade A-, #11 of 258 statewide, top 5%, 592 students, 47% FRL); Hopkins Senior High (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,491 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.4% in Minnetonka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SXNKE27S31D1GH
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29