1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
730 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 803 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$433
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$167
Net cashflow
$120/mo
Annual
$1,442/yr
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.24%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$23,100
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (3.7% below list).
It's been on market 803 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($570 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified District (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #18 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas Es (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #42 of 845 statewide, top 5%, 260 students, 0% FRL); Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified Hs (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #25 of 447 statewide, top 8%, 93 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $62k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 803 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SXZS7GEEFM71DP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29