622 N 10th St · Thomas, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$82,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not homesteaded; Directions: From HWY 33 drive onto 10th St heading north; home will be on the left.
- Financial info: Current price listed at $82,500
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; One-level entry
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Post-tension foundation; Built previously (existing)
- Exterior features: Interior lot; Existing property
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified District (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #18 of 270 in OK (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Es (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #42 of 845 statewide, top 5%, 260 students, 0% FRL); Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified Hs (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #25 of 447 statewide, top 8%, 93 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($570 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 803 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 803 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.24%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,950
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 W Nebraska St | 0.25mi | 1/1.5 | 650 (-11%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $115 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $11,856
- Equity at exit
- $31,023
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $38,965
- Equity at exit
- $43,536
Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73669
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $487/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,625
- Closing costs
- $2,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,500 Active 803 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,500 Active 802 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,500 Active 801 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,500 Active 800 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,500 Active 798 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $82,500 Active 797 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,500 Active 794 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,500 Active 793 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,500 Active 792 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $82,500 Active 790 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $82,500 Active 788 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,500 Active 787 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,500 Active 786 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,500 Active 785 DOM
-
2024-11-22status Active
-
2024-09-18status Pending
-
2024-02-01$82,500 Active
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $62,500 Sold 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $62,500
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-06-09status Pending 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-05-16price $65,500 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-01-22price $62,500 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-01-22price $59,900 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2022-01-15$62,500 Active 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
This Gem has been restored with a new roof, updated kitchen, and bath. Window heat and air with 30000 BTU infrared heat. Stackable washer and dryer 8 months old, range and double door fridge included. New water lines with pex. New paint. This one will not last long!
-
2000-06-05soldstatus $16,500
-
1998-05-12soldstatus $8,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $742 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$256/yr (+$21/mo · 52.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,621
- − Property taxes
- −$487
- − Insurance
- −$412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$763
- − Management
- −$763
- − Depreciation
- −$2,400
- Taxable income
- $89
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,420/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomas-Fay-Custer Unified District
- NCES district ID
- 4000015
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,687
- Composite
- 34.41/100
- National rank
- #5203
- State rank
- #18 of 270 in OK
Livability — Thomas
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #13102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomas, OK
- City population
- 1,596
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,596
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,356 people
- By 2030
- 37,162 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 43,354 · +26.2%
- By 2050
- 50,458 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 71,075 · +106.9%
- By 2100
- 91,129 · +165.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Current HPI
- 271.8931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+848.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-22 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2024-09-18 Pending — MLSOK
- 2024-02-01 Listed $82,500 MLSOK
- 2022-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MLSOK
- 2022-06-09 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-05-16 Price Changed $65,500 MLSOK
- 2022-01-22 Price Changed $62,500 MLSOK
- 2022-01-22 Price Changed $59,900 MLSOK
- 2022-01-15 Listed $62,500 MLSOK
- 2000-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
- 1998-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $8,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.3%/yrLatest (2025): $487 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…