2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Other
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-775/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.63%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-775/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (8.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (20.3% below list).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $766 of equity ($726 loan paydown + $40 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#279 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Logan County (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #32 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lewisburg Elementary School (math 41% / reading 43%, grade F, #178 of 676 statewide, top 29%, 484 students, 64% FRL); Logan County High School (math 32% / reading 54%, grade F, #30 of 254 statewide, top 12%, 953 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $105k implies a 950% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.5% in Dunmor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-SYY91PDTSAX52R
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29