1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
609 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$844/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$362/mo
Annual
$4,349/yr
Cap rate
17.17%
Cash-on-cash
38.83%
DSCR
2.73
1% rule
2.11%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $40k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#309 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Harrisburg CUSD 3 (town): math 5% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #521 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Side Primary School (424 students, 0% FRL); Harrisburg Middle School (math 7% / reading 28%, grade F, #450 of 665 statewide, top 69%, 331 students, 0% FRL); Harrisburg High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #506 of 693 statewide, top 74%, 544 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP.
Saline County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $29k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 5.5% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T0GE7G7WXVK58A
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29