222 W Park St · Harrisburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RETIRED or JUST STARTING OUT.... this adorable one bedroom home is for you. Roof is 4 years old, wiring and plumbing updated in 2004.Has fenced in yard. Stove, Refrigerator, washer & dryer
Key facts
- New furnace
- Full basement
- Fenced in side yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 49 x 85 (less than 0.25 acre); Total finished area reported as 609; Total finished + unfinished area reported as 1,109; Unfinished basement roughly 500
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Gravel driveway (owned)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electrical service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Appraiser-listed living area
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built 91-100 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom (main level); Additional bedroom spaces noted
- Flooring: Vinyl in kitchen; Carpet in living room and master bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Three total rooms; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($844 rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 5.4% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#309 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Harrisburg CUSD 3 (town): math 5% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #521 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: West Side Primary School (424 students, 0% FRL); Harrisburg Middle School (math 7% / reading 28%, grade F, #450 of 665 statewide, top 69%, 331 students, 0% FRL); Harrisburg High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #506 of 693 statewide, top 74%, 544 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saline County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.83%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $16,632
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 41.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.96×
- Total profit
- $44,329
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62946
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $844 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $385 | -5% $374 | +0% $362 | +5% $351 | +10% $340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $329 | +0% $362 | +5% $396 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $383 | -0.5pp $373 | base $362 | +0.5pp $352 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $40,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $40,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 410-char remark
-
2026-06-18$40,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$810
- − Management
- −$810
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $3,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$952
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1718270
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,717
- Composite
- 12.61/100
- National rank
- #9613
- State rank
- #521 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #6073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,465
Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,915 people
- By 2030
- 23,262 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 21,775 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 20,098 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 15,234 · -36.3%
- By 2100
- 10,302 · -56.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Saline
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 24.8% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.20%
- Current HPI
- 102.6962
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+33.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-12 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-12 Sold (MLS) $29,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-08 Listed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-08 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2024): $932 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…