10 bd · 1.0 ba ·
4,358 sqft ·
Built 1998
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,390/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$849
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,132
Net cashflow
$2,046/mo
Annual
$24,551/yr
Cap rate
15.74%
Cash-on-cash
33.74%
DSCR
2.50
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 4×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $409/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#349 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
San Felipe-Del Rio CISD (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #667 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Val Verde County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Val Verde County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,390/mo this rent would consume 98% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1111% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T0HV4A8BQ28SW6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29