4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,832 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,106/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$477
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$652
Net cashflow
$-96/mo
Annual
$-1,157/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.38%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $300k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (4.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,706 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
West Chester Area SD (suburban): math 56% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #34 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.8% in Cheyney University — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Minor: landscaping
— Overgrown bushes need trimming
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29